DeSart, Dr. Jay A.
Title:
Associate Professor of Political Science
Office:
LA 012m
Phone:
(801) 863-6314
Fax:
(801) 863-7013
Mail Code:
185
Last Updated: 12/17/14 -

Associate Professor
Political Science
Political Science Internship Coordinator

Dr. DeSart joined UVU in 2004 to help develop the new 
Political Science program and department.
From 1994 to 2004 he taught at Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton, FL
where he had a front row seat for the controversial 2000 Florida presidential election. 
In Spring 2004, FAU honored him with the Exceptional Faculty Award.

Dr. DeSart teaches courses in American politics and research methods. 
His research focuses on election forecasting and the effects of campaigns.

He is also the UVU faculty coordinator for the Utah Colleges Exit Poll.


LINKS

Course Homepages


Research Homepage - http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart


 

RESEARCH AND SCHOLARSHIP

Book Chapters

  • "A Tale of Two Models: The DeSart and Holbrook State-Level Forecast Model in 2008." In Chandra S. Putcha, ed. 2010. Methods of Forecasting American Election Outcomes: Studies in Strategies for Prediction. Lewiston, NY: Edwin Mellen Press. (Co-authored with Thomas Holbrook)

Journal Articles

  • "Campaigns, Polls, and the States: Assessing the Accuracy of Statewide Presidential Trial-Heat Polls."  Political Research Quarterly.  v. 56: December 2003. (Co-authored with Thomas Holbrook)
  • "Statewide Trial Heat Polls and the 2000 Presidential Election: A Forecast Model." Social Science Quarterly.   v. 84: September 2003. pp. 561-573.  (Co-authored with Thomas Holbrook)
  • "Using State Polls to Forecast Presidential Election Outcomes in the American States." International Journal of Forecasting. v. 15: April 1999.  pp. 137-142.  (Co-authored with Thomas Holbrook)
  • "Information Processing and Partisan Neutrality: A Reexamination of the Party Decline Thesis." Journal of Politics. v. 57: August 1995. pp. 776-95.

Conference Papers

  • "The Predictability of Senate and Gubernatorial Elections: An Application of the DeSart and Holbrook Forecast Model." Presented at the 2012 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Portland, OR March 22-24, 2012.
  • "The DeSart Gubernatorial Election Forecast Model: 2010 Post-Mortem." Presented at the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, New Orleans, LA January 6-8, 2011.
  • "Polls, Incumbency, and the President: Forecasting Gubernatorial Elections" Presented at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, San Francisco, CA April 1-3, 2010.
  • "State and National Polls in Predicting the 2008 Presidential Election.quot; Presented at the 2009 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Vancouver, BC March 19-21, 2009. (Co-authored with Thomas Holbrook)
  • "State and National Polls in Forecasting Presidential Elections." Presented at the 2008 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, San Diego, CA March 20-22, 2008.
  • "Forecasting the 2006 Gubernatorial Elections: Post-mortem." Presented at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Las Vegas, NV March 8-10, 2007.
  • "State Polls and National Forces: Forecasting Gubernatorial Election Outcomes." Presented at the 2006 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL April 20-23, 2006.
  • "Forecasting the 2004 Presidential Election With State-Level Trial Heat Polls"  Presented at the 2005 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL April 7-10, 2005.
  • "Poll Accuracy in Subnational Elections"  Presented at the 2004 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL April 15-18, 2004.
  • "Campaign Messages and Voter Information"  Presented at the 2003 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 3-6, 2003.  (Co-authored with Kelly Patterson).
  • "Aftermath: Palm Beach County Voters One Year After the 2000 Presidential Election"  Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Florida Political Science Association, Sarasota, FL, March 9, 2002
  • "Campaign Context and the Schematic Assessment of Congressional Candidates." Presented at the 2001 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 19-22, 2001.
  • "Contextual and Individual Influences on Party Cognitions: 1960-1996."  at the 2000 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 27-30, 2000.
  • "What On Earth Were They Thinking?  Chronic Schema Accessibilities in the 1996 Presidential Election."   Presented at the 1999 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 15-17, 1999.
  • "'Generational Change' and Party Voting in the House of Representatives." Presented at the 1998 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 23-25, 1998.
  • "Assessing the Accuracy and Utility of Statewide Presidential Trial Heat Polls." Presented at the 1997 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 10-12, 1997. (Co-authored with Thomas Holbrook).
  • "Forecasting the 1996 Presidential Election From Statewide Presidential Trial Heat Polls." Presented at the 1997 meeting of the Florida Political Science Association, Fort Lauderdale, FL April 4-5, 1997.
  • "Schematic Assessments of Candidates: The Impact of the Level and Bias of Information in Campaigns." Presented at the 1995 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 6-8, 1995.
  • "Contextual and Individual Influences on Party Schema Accessibility." Presented at the 1994 meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, April 14-16, 1994.

Other Scholarly Activities

  • Participant in the Campaign Conduct Assessment Project sponsored by the Pew Charitable Trusts.  Principal Investigator:   L. Sandy Maisel, Colby College.
  • Panel Chair/Discussant, "The Electoral Consequences of Candidate Ideology." 2000 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association.
  • Panel Chair/Discussant, "Party, Ideology, and Political Choice." 1999 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association.
  • Participant, "The Rise and The Fall of The House of Gingrich: Roundtable on the 104th Congress." 1997 Annual Meeting of the Florida Political Science Association.

Book Reviews

  • James Gimpel's National Elections and the Autonomy of State Party Systems. Publius. v. 26: Fall 1996.

EDUCATION

  • The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee (1988-1994)
    • Ph.D. Degree in Political Science, May 1994
      • Fields of Study: American mass behavior, American institutions and policy, comparative politics
      • Dissertation: Information Processing and Party Decline: The Cognitive Importance of American Political Parties
    • M.A. Degree in Political Science, August 1990
      • Thesis: Redefining Political Cynicism: The Motivational Component of Public Confidence
  • Concordia College, Moorhead, MN (1982-1986)

PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIPS